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DROUGHT SITUATION REPORT
NOVEMBER 1996
Scattered rainfall occurred across much of the State during
the month with the majority of the bigger totals confined to central and southern
Queensland. Some of the droughted areas in central Queensland received useful
totals whilst others missed out and are still waiting for a break in the season.
In western and north western Queensland, rainfall was confined to isolated patchy
storms which will only benefit those properties which received rainfall the
previous month. In many of these areas pasture growth resulting from previous
rainfall was burnt off due to the high temperatures and hot winds experienced
late in the month. Across much of southern Queensland, farmers and graziers
are now hoping for storm rain or an early start to the wet season to follow
up the excellent winter and spring rainfall recorded in many centres. Elsewhere
many property owners are either still waiting for an initial break in the season
or they require follow up falls of rain before Christmas to continue pasture
growth and regeneration initiated by earlier rainfall.
At the end of November, 17 Shires and 5 part Shires are
declared drought stricken along with 578 Individually Drought Declared Properties
(IDP's) in 32 other Shires. This represents approximately 22% of the State or
9550 out of the 55,545 Department of Primary Industries registered livestock
enterprises.
RAINFALL
North Region: Patchy storm rain occurred over inland
parts of the Region during the month with isolated falls of up to 150mm recorded
on some properties. However these storms were mainly confined to areas which
had received rainfall the previous month. Useful falls were also recorded along
the coastal fringe with totals generally not exceeding 100mm. Townsville received
59mm, Babinda 70mm, Bowen 60mm and Innisfail 39mm. Inland, Herberton recorded
137mm, Malanda 92mm, Croydon 72mm and Charters Towers 30mm.
West Region: Rainfall throughout the Region during
the month was scattered and light with totals generally below 40mm. Most of
the beneficial rain was recorded in the central west around Charleville and
Blackall. Areas around Winton, Julia Creek and Richmond received very little
beneficial rainfall and some properties in these areas are still very badly
droughted. The better totals for the Region during the month included Charleville
38mm, Quilpie 32mm and Blackall 21mm.
Central Region: Rainfall in the Region occurred
in two periods around the 5th and 21st of the month. Good falls of up to 100mm
fell in some parts of the eastern highlands with lighter falls elsewhere. Comet
received 140mm, Dingo 151mm, Banana 102mm and Emerald 72mm. Conversely much
of Belyando and Nebo Shires remain desperately dry with very little beneficial
rainfall recorded in these areas. On the coastal fringe Rockhampton received
44mm and Mackay 81mm.
South East Region: Useful rainfall occurred across
much of the region during the month with the majority of the falls ranging between
30mm and 100mm. In some areas where lighter falls were recorded their benefit
has been negated to some extent by the high temperatures and hot winds which
occurred late in the month. Eidsvold received 156mm, Mundubbera 115mm, Kingaroy
66mm, Gatton 49mm and Beaudesert 121mm. On the coastal fringe Bundaberg received
83mm, Gympie 59mm, Pomona 120mm and Nambour 85mm.
South Region: Rainfall fell widely across
much of the Region during the month with some totals on the eastern downs exceeding
150mm. Clifton recorded 170mm, Toowoomba 67mm, Warwick 90mm and Stanthorpe 68mm.
Elsewhere isolated thunderstorms produced useful falls in excess of 25mm. On
the western downs and Maranoa, Roma received 20mm, Surat 36mm, Dalby 40mm and
Inglewood 49mm.
LIVESTOCK AND PASTURES
North Region: Many inland parts of the region continue
to decline in terms of pasture quantity and quality due to the onset of high
temperatures and hot winds during the month. There have been reports of increased
stock losses particularly in new born calves and their mothers in the badly
droughted areas around Charters Towers and Townsville. In other parts of the
Region stock condition varies according to rainfall and pasture availability.
On the coastal fringe above Townsville and below Bowen pasture is in good supply
and accordingly cattle are in good to excellent condition as are most lines
of stock on the Atherton Tablelands.
West Region: Pasture quality and availability varies
throughout the Region and consequently so does stock condition. In south and
south west areas pasture availability is still quite good and accordingly stock
are in good to excellent condition. In the central west pasture availability
varies from good around Blackall and Tambo to variable around Longreach and
Winton. In these areas stock condition reflects pasture availability and quality.
In the north and north west many properties still have received no break in
the season and conditions continue to deteriorate throughout much of the area.
The hot windy conditions experienced during the month have taken their toll
on pasture growth and quality as well as stock condition. Widespread general
rain is required this month over much of the Region to alleviate current problems.
Central Region: Rainfall during the last two months
has improved pasture condition and availability across much of the Region
except for most of the Belyando and Nebo Shires. In these areas much of the
country is denuded of pasture and accordingly stock condition varies from poor
to fair and is largely dependant on the amount and type of supplementation being
undertaken. In most other areas of the Region stock condition varies from fair
to good depending on the quality of available pasture. Overall the majority
of the Region is well placed for this time of the year but rainfall will be
required during December in many areas to offset high summer temperatures and
their affect on pasture growth.
South East Region: Rainfall during the month across
much of the Region assisted the growth of pasture in many areas but this was
negated to some extent by the hot dry winds and high temperatures which occurred
late in the month. Generally conditions are quite good for this time of the
year with many areas experiencing levels of pasture availability not seen for
many years. Consequently, most lines of stock remain in good to excellent condition
and supplementary feeding has all but ceased in most areas. Numbers of stock
travelling to sale and slaughter have slowed as meatworks begin winding down
for Christmas.
South Region: Due to the excellent winter and spring
rainfall experienced across much of the Region the availability and quality
of pasture remains quite good for this time of the year. High temperatures and
hot winds during the month have affected pasture quality in some areas but stock
condition overall varies between good and excellent. Fires late in the month
affected large areas of forest country on the Downs and rainfall is required
to boost pasture production in these areas. Generally conditions for animal
and plant production remain favourable throughout the Region in the short term,
but rainfall is required within the next two months to ensure a good start for
1997.
CROPPING AND HORTICULTURE
North Region: Rainfall during the month around
Bowen provided good quality soil moisture and reduced the demand on irrigation
by some farmers in the area. On the down side the rain caused losses in some
tomato and rockmelon crops but had no effect on the mango harvest which is in
full swing. On the Atherton Tablelands light scattered rainfall during the month
assisted farmers especially those which received good rainfall in October. However
many farmers in the area with irrigation supplies are still finding it necessary
to utilise this water to finish crops and pre-water ground for summer plantings.
Central Region: With the completion of the winter
harvest during the month, attention has now turned to summer cropping. In many
areas rainfall during the month assisted farmers either planning on sowing crops
or it boosted the crops sown in the last two months. The exceptions to this
occur to the north of Emerald where lack of rainfall in some areas has meant
low soil moisture levels and reduced plantings of summer crops. In some areas
which have experienced recent rainfall there have been hatchings of plague locusts
which have caused some growers to reassess planting options. In general the
outlook remains favourable over much of the Region for summer cropping although
recent high temperatures and hot winds have caused moisture stress in some crops
and lowered soil moisture levels in many areas.
South East Region: Due to recent rainfall and the
completion of the winter harvest, farmers throughout the Region are concentrating
on the planting of summer crops. Already large areas have been planted to maize,
navy beans, sorghum and peanuts and these plantings will continue especially
if further rainfall occurs during early December. Prospects look good for all
forms of cropping across much of the Region due to recent rainfall, a good soil
moisture profile and the increased potential for irrigation. The cane crushing
season in the Bundaberg area is complete with indications pointing to a record
crop for this season. Plantings of cane for next season have begun and indications
point to another good year for cane growers. In the Lockyer Valley the potato
and onion harvest nears completion and the plantings of sweet corn and summer
grain crops have begun. Rainfall during the month alleviated the demand on irrigation
in many areas and assisted crops planted earlier in the spring.
South Region: The harvest of winter cereal crops
continued throughout the Region during the month with excellent production achieved
in most areas. Many wheat crops have yielded much better than expected and grain
handling facilities continue to receive large quantities of grain. On the eastern
downs, recent rainfall has allowed many farmers to double crop and large plantings
of sorghum and sunflowers has occurred. In the west many sorghum crops are beginning
to show signs of moisture stress from the recent high temperatures and hot winds.
These crops require rain urgently to minimise crop losses and ensure maximum
production is maintained. On the Granite Belt the harvest of the stone fruit
crop commenced during the month and prospects look bright for good yields. Water
storages remain close to capacity throughout the Region and point to excellent
prospects for vegetable, fruit and cotton crops during the next few months.
WATER STORAGE/SUPPLIES
The latest Water Storage Report issued by the Department
of Natural Resources is attached for general information on water storage capacities
throughout the Sate
North Region: Rainfall during the month eased
the demand on irrigation for many farmers around Bowen and on the Atherton Tablelands.
Due to the light nature of most of the rainfall during the month their was no
substantial inflow into any of the major water storages in the Region. In the
areas which received the bigger totals there was some local runoff which increased
storage levels in some dams and creeks.
West Region: The light and scattered nature
of the rainfall during the month produced very little surface runoff in the
Region. High temperatures have increased evaporation rates in all water storages
and this combined with increased stock water consumption have decreased storage
levels in most water storages. Indications are that the current availability
of water should be adequate in most areas until reasonable rainfall can be expected.
Central Region: Rainfall during the month produced
very little effective runoff throughout most of the Region with the exception
of the Comet, Mackenzie and Fitzroy Rivers where low flows occurred. Groundwater
levels remain variable in most areas although there has been some recharge in
the Boyne River Valley. Most surface water storage levels declined during the
month to some extent through irrigation commitments and evaporation losses.
South East Region: Rainfall during the month produced
some stream flows in the upper Burnett but generally water levels in most of
the Regions storages remained stable or decreased slightly through discharge
and evaporation. Ground water levels remain variable in most areas and it is
not expected that bores will return to normal levels without prolonged rainfall.
Stock water storages in most areas are adequate in the short term.
South Region: Although very little runoff
occurred during the month surface water supplies remain high throughout most
of the Region due to excellent rainfall earlier in the year. Most of the regulated
storage facilities remain close to capacity with good prospects for irrigation
next year. The groundwater situation remains variable in many areas although
supplies on the eastern downs are better than they have been in recent years.
Stock water availability across the Region remains adequate for the short term
but has suffered during the month due to evaporation loss and increased consumption.
OUTLOOK
The average SOI for November was -0.8, while the average
SOI for the 30 days ending 30 November was +0.1 (see attached graph). The SOI
trend during October-November was phase 5 (ie. near zero).
The attached map shows the total rainfall over Queensland
during November, together with maps of rainfall relative to historical records
for the last three months and the last twelve months. Most climate forecast
systems are suggesting 'near average' rainfall in Eastern Australia over the
total December to February period.
The attached maps show the probabilities of exceeding 50mm,
100mm and 200mm of rainfall around Queensland over the next three months. The
sea surface temperature map for October, together with comments, is also attached.
Research at the Bureau of Meteorology into sea-surface temperature and SOI patterns
suggests a high probability of an early start to the northern Australian wet
season this year.
FREIGHT SUBSIDIES
For the month of November 1996, 201 claims were processed
to the value of $341,901.97. The breakdown per type of subsidy for all claims
paid during the month is as follows:
Agistment $115,694.60 To Agistment $57,543.32
Fodder $117,500.88 Restocking $47,881.57
Water $3,281.60
So far in the 1996/1997 financial year a total of 1052
claims have been processed to a total of $1 575,415.63. This represents 32%
of the Treasury Special Allocation of $5 million.
Information provided by:
REGIONAL DELIVERY
Enquiries to: Ros Moloney
Primary Industries Building, 80 Ann Street, GPO Box 46, Brisbane Q 4001
Telephone: (07) 3239 3181
Facsimile: (07) 3239 3454
National Agricultural Monitoring System (NAMS)
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The National Agricultural Monitoring System (NAMS) provides current and historical climate, production, pasture and commodity information for agricultural industries at the national, state and regional scales, in user-friendly graphs and maps. NAMS is primarily designed to streamline Exceptional Circumstances drought assistance applications and assessments. NAMS can be accessed at www.nams.gov.au. This web-based tool is funded by the Australian, State and Territory governments and contains modelled analyses provided by Queensland Departments of Natural Resources & Water and Primary Industries & Fisheries. |
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