Long Paddock - SeasonalClimateOutlook>RainfallProbability>ConsistentlyNearZero>Feb-Apr

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15 Jun 2009

Seasonal Climate Outlook

TheLongPaddock > SeasonalClimateOutlook > RainfallProbability > ConsistentlyNearZero > Feb-Apr

Rainfall Probabilities based on
'Phases' of the Southern Oscillation Index
(Stone, R.C., Hammer, G.L. and Marcussen, T.)

phase 5

Chance of exceeding median rainfall in the period from February through April based on a Consistently near zero SOI phase over December and January

Graphics in GIF format, each image will appear in a new window.

Australia (updated 15:59, 15 Jan 2003)
Queensland (updated 15:59, 15 Jan 2003)
World (updated 15:59, 15 Jan 2003)

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Australia (164Kb) (updated 15:57, 15 Jan 2003)
Queensland (74Kb) (updated 15:58, 15 Jan 2003)
World (927Kb) (updated 15:58, 15 Jan 2003)

Years in history with the same SOI phase over Dec-Jan:

1886, 1888, 1895, 1896, 1900, 1903, 1907, 1908, 1909, 1910, 1924, 1925, 1927, 1932, 1936, 1945, 1947, 1948, 1949, 1960, 1965, 1966, 1972, 1975, 1979, 1981, 1984, 1985, 1988, 1990, 1991, 1994, 2007

what is: "Seasonal Climate Outlook" ?

The term "Seasonal Climate" refers to what the weather was, is, is-likely-to-be for a particular season. The "Outlook" is based on the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), Sea-Surface Temperature (SST) patterns in the Pacific Ocean are also important in driving climate variability and are useful guides to potential climate patterns in Australia (and other parts of the world too). One rainfall probability system used in Queensland is the "SOI Phase System", the current "Outlook Message" gives commentary on the seasonal outlook and additional information may be found at the Queensland Climate Change Centre of Excellence. You will also find the "Winter Crop Outlook" on the Department of Primary Industries web site.