Long Paddock

Seasonal climate outlook

The Science Delivery Division of the Department of Science, Information Technology, Innovation and the Arts (DSITIA)  produces a monthly climate statement which interprets seasonal climate outlook information for Queensland. The monthly climate statement is based on DSITIA's own information and also draws on information from national and international climate agencies.

The DSITIA assessment of rainfall probabilities is based on the current state of the ocean and atmosphere and its similarity with previous years.  In particular DSITIA monitors the current and projected state of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) referring to information such as sea-surface temperature (SST) anomaly maps and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI). Based on this information, DSITIA uses two systems to calculate rainfall probabilities for Queensland:

Outlooks based on both the SOI-Phase system and SPOTA-1 are freely available, although a password is required to access the experimental SPOTA-1 information (email rouseabout@science.dsitia.qld.gov.au).

Last updated 22 August 2013

Seasonal climate outlook