SOI in Rising Phase 02/02/06
The monthly value of the SOI rose from minus 1.4 for December to plus 11.7 for January.
Based on a "Rapidly Rising" SOI Phase there is a 50 to 70% chance of getting above median rainfall across most of north west and central west Queensland during February to March. For the remainder of the state there is a 30 to 50% chance of getting above median rainfall.
An improvement in the seasonal outlook would be expected if positive values of the SOI persist throughout the month.